Trials of Osiris Statistics (Y3: Rise of Iron – Present)

The Destiny Trials Report team (@TrialsReport) DMed me a dataset giving Trials of Osiris K/D for players who have played 50 or more Trials of Osiris matches. The data covers Trials of Osiris from the launch of Destiny: Rise of Iron to the end of Trials of Osiris on Black Shield this past weekend.

A total 726,830 accounts (308,982 on Xbox, 417,848 on PlayStation) met the filtering criterion for 50 or more Trials of Osiris matches played.

The following tables depict player counts and K/Ds for each percentile.

Table 1: Trials of Osiris K/Ds, Percentiles, and Number of Players Below Each K/D (Xbox)

Percentile Players Below K/D
99 305,893 1.96
97 299,713 1.67
95 293,533 1.54
90 278,084 1.36
75 231,737 1.12
62.591 193,395 1
50 154,491 0.88

Table 2: Trials of Osiris K/Ds, Percentiles, and Number of Players Below Each K/D (PlayStation)

Percentile Players Below K/D
99 413,670 1.96
97 405,313 1.67
95 396,956 1.54
90 376,064 1.35
75 313,386 1.1
64.411 269,139 1
50 208,924 0.86

I was a little surprised to learn that the average Trials of Osiris player has a K/D below 1.0. I have some ideas why this might be the case.

Here’s the same data, represented in a scatter plot:

Chart 1: Number of Players vs. Trials of Osiris K/D


I was chatting with iwz delta on the afternoon of Wednesday (February 22, 2017), and I brought up statistics, specifically how players like us are a rarity in the Destiny population. Both of us are anti-meta players who have achieved some degree of success.

During the conversation, I talked with him about the bell curve, and I posited that Destiny’s player population was probably distributed as such.

The conversation still lingering in my mind, I reached out to the Destiny Trials Report team on Twitter:

Soon afterwards, I received a response, linking me to a tweet by SilverAndSlaver:

SilverAndSlayer didn’t have plans to revisit the analysis for a month, so I took it upon myself to begin poring over whatever data I could obtain. I briefly considered enlisting outside help to programmatically scrape Trials of Osiris K/Ds, and was elated when the Destiny Trials Report team reached out with data.

A big thank you to Destiny Trials Report for improving the quality of life for all us Destiny Trials of Osiris players, and for providing me with this dataset!

We have the data, now what?

Theoretical distribution of player K/Ds – does it hold true?