Trials of Osiris Statistics (Y3: Rise of Iron – Present)

The Destiny Trials Report team (@TrialsReport) DMed me a dataset giving Trials of Osiris K/D for players who have played 50 or more Trials of Osiris matches. The data covers Trials of Osiris from the launch of Destiny: Rise of Iron to the end of Trials of Osiris on Black Shield this past weekend.

A total 726,830 accounts (308,982 on Xbox, 417,848 on PlayStation) met the filtering criterion for 50 or more Trials of Osiris matches played.

The following tables depict player counts and K/Ds for each percentile.

Table 1: Trials of Osiris K/Ds, Percentiles, and Number of Players Below Each K/D (Xbox)

Percentile Players Below K/D
99 305,893 1.96
97 299,713 1.67
95 293,533 1.54
90 278,084 1.36
75 231,737 1.12
62.591 193,395 1
50 154,491 0.88

Table 2: Trials of Osiris K/Ds, Percentiles, and Number of Players Below Each K/D (PlayStation)

Percentile Players Below K/D
99 413,670 1.96
97 405,313 1.67
95 396,956 1.54
90 376,064 1.35
75 313,386 1.1
64.411 269,139 1
50 208,924 0.86

I was a little surprised to learn that the average Trials of Osiris player has a K/D below 1.0. I have some ideas why this might be the case.

Here’s the same data, represented in a scatter plot:

Chart 1: Number of Players vs. Trials of Osiris K/D

Background

I was chatting with iwz delta on the afternoon of Wednesday (February 22, 2017), and I brought up statistics, specifically how players like us are a rarity in the Destiny population. Both of us are anti-meta players who have achieved some degree of success.

During the conversation, I talked with him about the bell curve, and I posited that Destiny’s player population was probably distributed as such.

The conversation still lingering in my mind, I reached out to the Destiny Trials Report team on Twitter:

Soon afterwards, I received a response, linking me to a tweet by SilverAndSlaver:

SilverAndSlayer didn’t have plans to revisit the analysis for a month, so I took it upon myself to begin poring over whatever data I could obtain. I briefly considered enlisting outside help to programmatically scrape Trials of Osiris K/Ds, and was elated when the Destiny Trials Report team reached out with data.

A big thank you to Destiny Trials Report for improving the quality of life for all us Destiny Trials of Osiris players, and for providing me with this dataset!

More
We have the data, now what?

Theoretical distribution of player K/Ds – does it hold true?

Carries are Cool, but at What Cost?

When I reflected on the state of my stream and gaming identity at the close of 2016, I listed the reasons why a viewer might find their way to me, and why they might choose to remain engaged over time.

I identified two dimensions:

  1. Entertainment value
  2. Pursuit of knowledge

I value the time of my teammates, especially those stronger players that are in high demand. I am immensely grateful to have the opportunity to game with them on stream, and hope to continue developing those relationships over time. Playing against opponents stronger than oneself is imperative to improving one’s individual competence. After the dust settles, you can bet we’ll have a good time no matter what titles we pick up in the future. Come Destiny 2 (or more! Who is to say?), we’ll still be kicking ass and taking names.

In spite of my best efforts to discourage the behavior, there are people who come to my stream when I’m running close to the end of a passage, and ask if I might help them along. This message is for you. Be forewarned, it comes straight from the hip, and I still love you…

I have all the respect in the world for everyone who attempts carries. When the Trials of Osiris first went live, PullRequest and I would carry AnarchistBee to the Lighthouse every week. From time to time, I pick up a viewer from my stream to join me in a fight for glory.

I’ve known for a long time that my own time here is limited. As I grow through the years, my ability to prioritize improves. If I wanted to, I could play the game from the time that I woke up until the time that I passed out from sheer exhaustion. My eyes would suffer, my dog would probably shit the bed, my gameplay would suffer… and for what? Playing games, by itself, doesn’t pay the bills. I know this because I’ve been gaming since the SNES days, and it’s done nothing but require continued reinvestment of my time, energy, and money.

I recognize that the Destiny streaming community goes hard when Trials of Osiris is in session, and that many of the community’s top streamers made their rise to partnership by the strength of their Trials of Osiris game. The early movers offered free Lighthouse runs and Trials of Osiris help. To this day, there are countless individuals offering free Lighthouse runs, yet there is a market for Trials of Osiris carries, and it’s glaringly transparent. One can find listings on eBay, of all places. There’s also SherpasofDestiny.com, whose banner ads served through Google AdSense can be found on a variety of Destiny-related websites. At the time of writing, Sherpas of Destiny charges $55 for a guaranteed flawless run (account recovery). For an additional $10, Sherpas of Destiny will let you play along.

Let’s face it – good players are in tight supply, yet money talks, and people listen. With that in mind, I’m instituting a tiered paid carry system. The harder that my carry partner and I have to struggle on your behalf, the more that you pay. On the bright side, you’ll get more time on air in exchange for your coin, the better to reward our efforts.

Someone reading this might think, “OMG, this yetieater guy is a real prick. He thinks he’s too good to play with me?!”

I tell you what – it’s not you, it’s me. I’m a good guy, but I’m also aware that not everyone plays the way that I do. I still consider it an honor whenever I have the opportunity to run with a high-level player. In many ways, I’m like you, guy who thinks I’m a prick! If I had things my way, I would occasionally bag a kill (or two, or three) while the other two members of my fireteam did the heavy lifting.

What if I have no money to put towards a carry, you ask?

I offer nothing but tough love and the truth: either 1) git gud, or 2) hustle harder.

There’s always the third option: get lucky. Thank you for reading, and I wish you all the best ♥

On Being the “Pretty Girl”

A story about gratitude and entitlement

Amazon’s Twitch Prime offered me and other Amazon Prime members a free subscription to any Twitch streamer, and I used mine to subscribe to DrLupo’s stream. After learning that there was a Discord server for subscribers, I got into it by linking my Twitch account with Discord, and made my introduction. I posted in the LFG channel for Xbox One, and stepped away.

By morning, I received a couple of responses from people who were also interested in playing Trials of Osiris. I looked them up, and added them to my friends list.

On Sunday, I fired up Destiny, intending to run Trials until I grew bored of it. I hit up IcarusUndead, one of the guys from DrLupo’s Discord server. IcarusUndead had never gone to the Lighthouse, and I made it my personal mission to see to it that we’d get there.

Shortly after we got into a party, a guy that I’ve played with in the past, Leonaeu Reeves, invited me to chat. Leonaeu Reeves established a reputation for trash-talking other players and talking himself up, even though he’s an overwhelmingly average player.

The last time that I played Destiny with Leonaeu Reeves, he wanted to get carried through the King’s Fall raid on Heroic, and he hadn’t boned up on any of the raid mechanics. I should have bailed when even his clanmates ghosted on him, but I really wanted to knock out the Oryx challenge, and I stuck with it through an overwhelming number of wipes. Details of these many failed attempts can be found in the following two pages:

20160730 9:23PM bungie.net/en/Legend/PGCR?instanceId=5296673006&characterId=2305843009259344551
20160731 12:53AM bungie.net/en/Legend/PGCR?instanceId=5296769458&characterId=2305843009259344551

This, combined with his attitude in our post-raid discussion, left a sour taste in my mouth.

I took us to the Classic Free-for-All playlist for warmup, and to gauge the competence and attitude of IcarusUndead against Leonaeu Reeves. The first game that we instanced into (bungie.net/en/Legend/PGCR?instanceId=5704046696&characterId=2305843009259344551) was already in progress – we joined in just as the heavy ammo spawn was announced.

I lucked out, spawning in near C heavy. I killed a player near C spawn, and secured heavy, clawing my way up the scoreboard. My two fireteam members were not as fortunate, but that’s the way the cookie crumbles.

When the scoreboard came up, Leonaeu Reeves lamented how I’d gotten control of heavy ammo. I acknowledged that it provided me with a leg up, but also told him that I had to defeat two players in order to secure it in the first place.

We queued up again, looking for a fresh game.

“I don’t like Rumble,” he griped.

Fool, how else do you expect to increase your personal competence? There’s nothing better than subjecting yourself to the chaos of free-for-all and learning from your every encounter.

The second match (bungie.net/en/Legend/PGCR?instanceId=5704136409&characterId=2305843009259344551) was played out on Vertigo. IcarusUndead ended the match with 23 kills, outperforming me.

I told Leonaeu Reeves that I’d get back in touch with him after the run, and he left the party.

I searched DestinyLFG.net for a suitable Trials partner. IcarusUndead and I went through two failed runs before picking up a third player who stuck with us until we hit a flawless passage. I asked my fireteam whether they’d be down to keep playing for a chance to get the Vigilant Disciple, Destiny’s year three “Scarab” emblem, and they were game.

While we forged on in hopes of obtaining the emblem, I received messages from Leonaeu Reeves, which I responded to bluntly:

Leonaeu Reeves XBL
Messages received from “Leonaeu Reeves” on Xbox Live

I blocked him and moved on, but the incident warranted reflection. I could have done more to avoid hurting Leonaeu Reeves’s feelings.

The run: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ArHZdL_X1tg

IcarusUndead later went on to write me a favorable review.

I want to close with this: no one owes you anything. You want something? Go earn it, or play the lottery and hope that it’s your lucky day, but don’t cry when you don’t end up with the golden ticket.

Knownleek10

I received a couple of messages from Knownleek10 partway through a series of three Trials of Osiris matches played back-to-back while helping my Trials partner farm for the Vigilant Disciple emblem.

@4:22 received first message

ur trash af for hitting body

@6:20 received second, and last, message

ur actually trash, u hit nothing but body ur blocked

Knownleek10 sent messages to my fireteam members as well.

Match 1: http://guardian.gg/en/pgcr/5917991691
Match 2: http://guardian.gg/en/pgcr/5918011462
Match 3: http://guardian.gg/en/pgcr/5918022495

We won two out of the three matches, and backed out to let fellow Crucible Sherpa Skifurd sleep.

Not much to say about Knownleek10. On paper he’s a good player, but I avoid toxic players, so I thank Knownleek10 for taking the time to block me.

Check out the three matches below: